Treasury & Capital Markets / Viewpoint
US tax bill is bigger threat to US-China trade than tariffs
The biggest threat to US-China trade ties is the recent US tax cut, which will cause the bilateral deficit to widen by as much as US$100 billion annually
Shang-jin Wei 27 Mar 2018

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Mathew Kathayanat
Mathew Kathayanat
head of product, Asia Pacific securities services
Deutsche Bank
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Ying Bai
Ying Bai
ESG lead, Greater China
FTSE Russell
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Transitioning to a green future
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Reducing inflation without recession unlikely
With “Team Persistent” having clearly prevailed over “Team Transitory” in the debate over the nature of today’s surging inflation, the question now is whether prices can be tamed without also causing a recession. The historical evidence suggests not, leaving central banks to choose between bad and worse options
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Developing an AI and big data financial services hub
According to a recent survey of AI firms in Asia by the Fintech Association of Hong Kong (FTAHK), around 75% of respondents cited Hong Kong as their headquarters while 70% regarded Hong Kong as their top market. However, many of these firms cite the lack of quality talent familiar with AI and big data processes as a major issue facing Hong Kong as an AI and big data financial services hub.
Treasury & Capital Markets / Viewpoint
US inflation problem not comparable to 1980s
If the US Federal Reserve wishes to avoid a return to stagflation, it must recognize the huge gulf between the level of real interest rates under former Fed Chair Paul Volcker and the current incumbent. It is delusional to think that today’s wildly accommodative monetary policy can solve the worst inflation problem in a generation
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